Conversations with Tyler | 22 April 2020 | 0h 54m | Listen Later | iTunes
Interview with Philip Tetlock discussing his book Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction. Backgrounds that the best forecasters are fox-like integrative thinkers capable of navigating values that are conflicting or in tension. Covers whether the world is becoming harder to predict, whether Goldman Sachs traders can beat forecasters, the importance of interdisciplinary teams, how research on counterfactuals can be applied to modern debates, how to become more fox-like, and more.