Predicting the Future Is Possible

The Ezra Klein Show | 3 December 2021 | 0h 52m | Listen Later | iTunes | Spotify
Interview with Philip Tetlock about ideas from his books Expert Political Judgement and Superforecasting:The Art and Science of Prediction. Discusses the intellectual virtues, habits of mind, and ways of thinking that we can learn to become better forecasters; the inverse correlation between fame and forecast accuracy; the rigour-relevance gap; how to approach real-life questions; and why government bureaucracies often resist adopting the tools of superforecasting.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *